September 2009 Update
“Climate stability has never been a feature of planet earth,” explains R. Timothy Patterson professor and director of the Ottawa-Carleton Geoscience Centre, Department of Earth Sciences, Carleton University in an article in the Financial Post. “The only constant about climate is change; it changes continually and, at times, quite rapidly. Many times in the past, temperatures were far higher than today, and occasionally, temperatures were colder. As recently as 6,000 years ago, it was about 3 C warmer than now. Ten thousand years ago, while the world was coming out of the thousand-year-long ‘Younger Dryas’ cold episode, temperatures rose as much as 6 C in a decade — 100 times faster than the past century’s.”
The coldest period of the Little Ice Age, between
1645 and 1715, has been linked to a deep dip
in solar storms known as the Maunder Minimum.
What is really unstable is our sun though it does change in predictable patterns and cycles. The sun presently is in the pits of the deepest solar minimum in nearly a century. Weeks and sometimes whole months go by without a single sunspot. Since mid-July our friendly neighborhood star has gone blank again, not that it’s been that active in relative terms these past 10 years. But it’s the longest blank streak in a year. This means a continuation of the deepest solar minimum in a hundred years: at least for now. The longest number of consecutive blank days during the present cycle 23/24 minimum was 52 during the summer of 2008. The most recent count was 41 as of August 20th. The sun is the dimmest it has been in a hundred years. The lull is causing some scientists to recall the Little Ice Age, an unusual cold spell in Europe and North America, which lasted from about 1300 to 1850.
The technique of measuring solar magnetic fields was pioneered at the McMath-Pierce solar telescope near Tucson.
Scientists are looking at a spectral line emitted by iron atoms in the sun’s atmosphere.
“Sunspot magnetic fields are dropping by about 50 gauss per year,” says Dr. Matt Penn of the National Solar Observatory (NSO) in Tucson, Arizona.. “If we extrapolate this trend into the future, sunspots could completely vanish around the year 2015.” This disappearing act is possible because sunspots are made of magnetism. The “firmament” of a sunspot is not matter but rather a strong magnetic field that appears dark because it blocks the up flow of heat from the sun’s interior. If Earth lost its magnetic field, the solid planet would remain intact, but if a sunspot loses its magnetism, it ceases to exist. “This work has caused a sensation in the field of solar physics,” comments NASA sunspot expert David Hathaway.
It is really hard to argue with a simple thermometer but in Los Angeles these days nobody is talking about global cooling with all the fires burning there and in some Washington DC offices they still have their heads stuck in the oven dreaming of warming trends and taxing CO2. Less radiation from the sun means a cooling planet. It’s quite possible 2009 will displace 2008 as the quietest year since 1913 but that does not mean we are definitely entering some kind of “Dalton Minimum” or worse yet a “Maunder Minimum” but is sure looks and feels that way.
Global surface temperatures have not increased since 1998 contrary to what climate models and U.S. policymakers who cite “consensus” on man-made global warming as justification for anti-emission regulations have predicted. What they are doing is relying upon outdated and misleading material from the United Nations that deliberately omits the influence of natural forces. The sun has a mind of its own and does not give a wit for Al Gore and his friends.
Victor Manuel Velasco Herrera, a researcher at the Institute of Geophysics with the National Autonomous University of Mexico sees evidence that points to the onset of a “little ice age” in about 10 years that could last for much of the 21st Century. The IPPC models are not correct because they do not take into account natural factors like solar activity, he said in a lecture.
The Competitive Enterprise Institute (CEI) has exposed a major cover-up at the EPA regarding a study on global warming because it conflicts with the agenda of the current administration and its Cap and Trade legislation.