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Global Cooling is Here

Published on March 16, 2010

INTRODUCTION

Despite no global warming in 10 years and recording setting cold in 2007-2008, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climatic Change (IPCC) and computer modelers who believe that CO2 is the cause of global warming still predict the Earth is in store for catastrophic warming in this century. IPCC computer models have predicted global warming of 1° F per decade and 5-6° C (10-11° F) by 2100 (Fig. 1), which would cause global catastrophe with ramifications for human life, natural habitat, energy and water resources, and food production. All of this is predicated on the assumption that global warming is caused by increasing atmospheric CO2 and that CO2 will continue to rise rapidly.

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Figure 1. A. IPCC prediction of global warming early in the 21st century. B. IPCC prediction of global warming to 2100. (Sources: IPCC website)

However, records of past climate changes suggest an altogether different scenario for the 21st century. Rather than drastic global warming at a rate of 0.5 ° C (1° F) per decade, historic records of past natural cycles suggest global cooling for the first several decades of the 21st century to about 2030, followed by global warming from about 2030 to about 2060, and renewed global cooling from 2060 to 2090 (Easterbrook, D.J., 2005, 2006a, b, 2007, 2008a, b); Easterbrook and Kovanen, 2000, 2001). Climatic fluctuations over the past several hundred years suggest ~30 year climatic cycles of global warming and cooling, on a general rising trend from the Little Ice Age.

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  • Henry J

    Eighty % of atmospheric heat energy moved around is by convection and conduction and the rest, by radiation (20%). Where the warming boys may be going astray is at the ocean/atmosphere interface. When water is evaporated, more cooling takes place in the water than warming in the air. This cooling occurs below the Knudson layer where the temperature data is hidden or not taken. So, maybe increased CO2 is actually cooling the oceans while warming the land. I an not a climate authority but this is just my take on the subject. I welcome comments.

  • Henry J

    Intro: When gases like CO2 absorb IR, the gas does not heat up as electrons are pushed into a higher orbit. They release the same wavelength IR in all directions upon the electron’s return to the lower orbit, only less than they absorbed (2nd Law of Thermodynamics). At the same time, any body, including gases, will radiate IR proporsional to their temperature. All this is according to the Bohr Model.

    So, Arrhenius calculations in 1906, for doubling the concentration of CO2 in air, will raise the temperature only +1.6 degrees K. So IR is absorbed by CO2, and by the 2nd law of thermodynamics, less is re-emitted. There is a net loss of energy here.

    Of water’s three phases, only the liquid and solid will heat up, the gas phase follows the Bohr mode as noted above. This implies that Water is being improperly labeled a greenhouse gas. It condenses, it rains, it snows, if freezes. In the gas phase, it acts like the Bohr model of a gas that it is.