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Climate Science Missed Reality by Miles

Published on September 30, 2026

Reality is one thing; what experts think and say is another. Reality is hard; it’s durable, though it moves and changes. But in the minds of men, in manipulative media, and in government reports, reality becomes so slippery that it’s hard to recognize it anymore. And when it comes to climate, to Nature, well, there are giant fools out there led by the likes of people like Al Gore. None of his dramatic climate predictions have come to pass. None!

We all should know from experience that the weather always changes, but so does the climate. But that doesn’t mean every hurricane, drought, flood, wildfire, blizzard, or heat wave can simply be stamped “climate change” and the scientific work declared finished.

Science has had a stroke, a heart attack, or is suffering from dementia in the areas of climate and medicine. In climate, what they predicted and what is happening are two different things. Why that matters is important for a true understanding of climate change, which is a slippery cover-up term meant to represent manmade global warming and carbon dioxide madness.

This winter in the north will be telling if it’s too cold and too long this year. Many people could die from the cold because of the energy crisis, not in some far-off future but in the 2026/27 season. The real danger this winter is not only the cold weather, but cold weather arriving in a world struggling with war, disrupted energy supplies, inflation, and declining public trust. Not everyone will be able to afford to heat their homes and keep food on the table at the same time. And in certain places, actual energy shortages will probably materialize.

Recent coal shortages have pushed India to consider
imported-coal blending again, with about 40 percent of
power plants reportedly holding less than three days of reserves.

Perhaps reality will drop so hard that the media will not be able to keep up its propaganda, or what we call the mainstream narrative. We can clearly see how twisted it is about medicine and vaccines, but it sure has millions confused about the climate.

Arctic Sea Ice Near 20-Year High for Late September

Chart comparing Arctic sea ice extent from 2007 through 2026, with 2026 highlighted.

Arctic sea ice has rebounded sharply from its summer minimum, with late-September extent now running near the top of the entire post-2007 range—the year Al Gore, accepting the Nobel Peace Prize, cited a study warning that the summer Arctic ice cap could disappear within seven years. Nineteen years later, that prediction has not materialized. Nature has not cooperated with climate experts or those like Gore who pretended to be one. Many people pretend to be what they are not. Just think of Bill Gates. He thinks he knows a lot about medicine, public health, and climate, even though he doesn’t have a college degree.  

Gates did attend Harvard but left during his junior year without earning an undergraduate degree. He is not formally trained as a physician, epidemiologist, or climate scientist. His influence comes from money and his big mouth.

NSIDC says Arctic ice bottomed at 4.60 million km² (1.78 million mi²) on Sept. 12, which was 440,000 km²—or 10.6%—above 2007’s 4.16 million km² low, and a full 1.21 million km²—or 36%—above the 2012 record of 3.39 million km². Since Sept 12, the freeze-up has been rapid. But this couldn’t be happening now, when it’s the warmest it has ever been. Even Artificial Intelligence gets confused about this.

The latest daily chart puts Sept 27 extent near 5.7 million km²—roughly 28% above the equivalent point in 2007 and close to the highest late-September level of the past 20 years.

Book cover for Climate Science Missed Reality by Miles by Dr. Mark Sircus.
Coming Not Too Soon

I have been watching this for a long time. I began seriously following climate and weather in 2008. Since then, I have written hundreds of essays, collected thousands of reports, watched predictions come and go, and followed winters, droughts, floods, hurricanes, snowstorms, Arctic ice, Antarctic ice, solar activity, volcanic eruptions, crop failures, heat waves, cold waves, and the extraordinary ways in which the media chooses to describe all of them.

Part of my interest in this subject is that climate is a medical and health issue. Our bodies do not respond well to weather extremes. People die from cold and heat and react to extreme dampness and dryness. And of course, agriculture is climate-dependent.

Cold Delhi: Delhi has posted its coldest September
morning since 2008. Safdarjung dropped to 21C (69.8F)
on Sept 29, the city’s lowest September minimum in 18 years.

One thing became clear before I published my first words on climate change. The weather did not behave as the climate narrative said it should. More importantly, when reality contradicted a prediction, they denied it. That is one reason I am writing this book.

This book is not arguing that climate never changes. Of course it changes. Climate has always changed. Earth has moved through ice ages, interglacial periods, prolonged droughts, warm periods, cold periods, advancing glaciers, retreating glaciers, massive volcanic episodes, shifts in ocean circulation, and variations in solar conditions and even the Earth’s orbit long before human beings burned coal, drilled for oil, or drove automobiles.

Climate Change Is Normal

The argument begins when we move from that simple fact to the much larger claim that we understand climate well enough to predict its future with confidence, attribute individual disasters to causes, restructure the global economy around those predictions, and perhaps eventually manipulate the atmosphere itself.

Temperatures rise and fall. Oceans move. Clouds form and disappear. Winds shift. Ice advances and retreats. Volcanoes erupt. Solar activity changes. Rain falls where it was not expected and refuses to fall where it was. Nature owes no obligation to obey men’s theories.

The world isn’t done with coal.
It is burning more of it than ever.

Global coal demand did reach another record in 2025, about 8.84 billion tons, according to the IEA. So, the world is not “done with coal”; globally, it is still consuming more coal than ever before. China and India remain the center of gravity. China alone consumes more coal than the rest of the world combined, and together China and India account for most new coal development. The problem with coal has more to do with pollution than it does with climate.

Chart showing U.S. wheat export inspections reaching record lows during part of the 2026/27 season.

Climate science has developed a remarkable ability to absorb failed predictions without losing authority. A warm winter supports climate change. A cold winter can also support climate change. Drought supports climate change. Flooding supports climate change. Less snow supports climate change. Heavy snow can support climate change. More hurricanes are attributed to climate change, but quiet hurricane seasons do not seem to count strongly against the theory. Arctic ice decline becomes headline news. A rebound attracts no press attention.

Climate science became entangled with politics, finance, activism, and enormous institutional interests. Governments created agencies. Universities created departments. Corporations created carbon strategies. Financial institutions created carbon markets. International organizations built climate bureaucracies. Activist organizations raised billions. Politicians discovered that climate emergencies could justify extraordinary policy measures.

I do not claim to possess a perfect theory of climate. I do not claim to know exactly what temperatures will be in 2035, 2050, or 2100. I distrust anyone who speaks with excessive confidence about systems this complicated. But the general direction seems clear, and it was clear in 2008, so I decided to bet my reputation on it. Eventually, I created my site, Cold Climate Change, and assembled enough material to write a book, or so my AI thinks.

Now I have four books in progress, and it’s a race between my Carbon Dioxide Medicine book and my The Terror of Vaccine Medicine book to see which crosses the finish line first. The hardest is my Beyond Psychology book, so I think the climate book will come in third. No, make it five books; Magnesium Medicine just fell on the table, and truly, I do have more written down on magnesium than any doctor alive. It seems like I cannot even talk to AI without another project falling on top of me.

Book cover for Magnesium Medicine by Dr. Mark Sircus.
Book cover for The Terror of Vaccine Medicine by Dr. Mark Sircus.
Book cover for Beyond Psychology: The Intelligence of Listening by Dr. Mark Sircus.
Cover of Dr. Mark Sircus’s upcoming book The Many Faces of Carbon Dioxide Medicine: Critical Care to Anti-Aging.

I have always been an intensity freak, or what my wife calls a time magician; I even do the dishes at the speed of light. And have always complained that I am never challenged to my full potential, but this week I seem to have broken through a barrier. I certainly have a lot of work to do, so I can’t complain anymore.

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Dr. Mark Sircus AC., OMD, DM (P)

Professor of Natural Oncology, Da Vinci Institute of Holistic Medicine
Doctor of Oriental and Pastoral Medicine
Founder of Natural Allopathic Medicine

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